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我国绿色储粮技术应用供需耦合协调的时空演化分析
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The Spatio-temporal Evolution Analysis of Coupling Coordination between Supply and Demand in Application of Green Grain Storage Technologies
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    摘要:

    作为保障粮食质量安全的重要技术手段,绿色储粮技术正在被大力推广,评估我国绿色储粮技术应用供给与需求是否协调发展具有重要现实意义。运用耦合协调模型、重心坐标法、灰色关联度模型等方法,分析了我国31个省份绿色储粮技术应用供需耦合协调的时空特征及其演变规律。研究表明,我国绿色储粮技术应用水平呈现逐年递增的态势。主产区应用水平最高,主销区应用水平增长最快,产销平衡区绿色储粮技术应用水平较为薄弱。东北部和东部地区的应用水平明显高于中部和西部地区。绿色储粮技术应用供需耦合协调水平变化呈优化趋势,但仍有较大的提升空间。耦合协调度重心向东偏南方向迁移,与之关系较为密切的因素是基础设施建设投资、科技支撑和粮食企业平均利润。

    Abstract:

    As an important technical approach to ensuring food quality and safety, China is actively promoting the adoption of green grain storage technology. It is of great practical significance to evaluate whether the supply and demand of green grain storage technology are coordinated. Using the coupling coordination model, barycentric coordinate method and grey relational degree model, this paper reveals the spatio-temporal characteristics and evolutionary patterns of coupling coordination between supply and demand for green grain storage technology across 31 provinces in China. The research shows that the application level of green grain storage technology is increasing year by year. The main grain-producing areas exhibit the highest application levels, the main marketing areas demonstrate the fastest growth, and the application level in the production - marketing balance regions remains relatively weak. The northeastern and eastern regions outperform the central and western regions in terms of application levels. The change of the coupling coordination level between supply and demand in the application of green grain storage technology is trending toward optimization. No province has yet achieved a highly coupled stage, and nearly half of the provinces are in the running-in stage, leaving significant room for improvement. The center of gravity for the coupling coordination degree shifted towards east and south, driven primarily by factors such as infrastructure investment, scientific and technological support, and the average profit of grain enterprises.

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王笑丛,刘成龙*,张健勋.我国绿色储粮技术应用供需耦合协调的时空演化分析[J].粮油食品科技,2025,33(2):214-219.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-03-27
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