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新形势下我国粮食供应安全面临风险与政策建议(网络首发、推荐阅读)
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The Risks and Policy Suggestions in Chinese Food Supply Security under the New Situation(Online First, Recommended Article)
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    摘要:

    近年来,在百年变局叠加全球疫情的新形势下,日趋复杂不确定的内外部环境加剧了我国粮食供应安全面临的风险,给我国粮食安全带来了严峻挑战。本研究立足于新形势下国际地缘政治冲突、极端事件频发与国内粮食进口集中度、农产品应急保供机制、粮食供需结构视角,指出当前我国粮食供应安全面临国际粮食供需不平衡加剧、粮食供应不确定性及成本增加和国内粮食供应脆弱性风险提升、粮食供应抗风险能力不足以及粮食供应结构与消费者多样化需求矛盾升级等风险。基于对当前粮食供应安全风险的研判,提出首先要通过加强种子等关键技术研发,优化粮食种植结构,同时利用新技术提高粮食生产效率等方式来全方位提高粮食综合生产能力,立足于自身夯实粮食安全根基;其次,要建立健全重要农产品应急保供体系,保障新形势下重要农产品的有效供给;最后,要加强我国粮食贸易伙伴关系,通过推进“一带一路”国家粮食产业链布局、借力区域全面经济伙伴关系(RCEP)创造良好粮食贸易格局、深化与非洲国家间的农业合作来推动我国粮食贸易高质量发展,提升粮食国际贸易的竞争力。本研究为保障我国粮食供应安全提供了参考依据。

    Abstract:

    In recent years, as the unseen changes in a century and the pandemic are intertwined, the increasingly complex and uncertain external environment aggravated the risk faced by Chinese food supply security. This paper is based on the perspectives of international geopolitical conflicts, frequent extreme events, concentration of domestic food imports, emergency guarantee mechanism of agricultural products, and food supply and demand structure under the new situation. It pointed out that the security of Chinese food supply is faced with such risks as worsening international food supply and demand imbalance, increasing food supply uncertainty and cost, increasing domestic food supply vulnerability, insufficient ability to resist risks, and escalating contradiction between food supply structure and consumers’ diversified demands. Based on the research and judgment of the current risks of food supply security, this paper proposed that first of all, we should strengthen the research and development of seeds and other key technologies to optimize the grain planting structure, and use new technologies to improve the comprehensive grain production efficiency and capacity for consolidating the foundation of food security. Secondly, the emergency guarantee system of important agricultural products should be established for ensuring the effective supply of important agricultural products under the new situation. Finally, we should strengthen Chinese food trade partnership, which could promote the high-quality development of China’s food trade and enhance the competitiveness of international food trade by promoting the distribution of food industry chain in the “Belt and Road” countries. In addition, we could make use of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) to create a good grain trade pattern, and deepering agricultural cooperation with African countries. This paper provides a reference basis for ensuring the security of food supply.

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刘 宇,张 硕*,梁 栋.新形势下我国粮食供应安全面临风险与政策建议(网络首发、推荐阅读)[J].粮油食品科技,2023,31(4):10-17.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-07-27
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